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Premier League Darts Betting Forecast for Night 11 in Liverpool

James.Wade

It’s now or never for a lot of the field in this year’s Premier League. With just six weeks left to gain crucial points on the board, a real importance hangs over some of the player at the bottom end of the league approaching Liverpool.

A painful draw for Gerwyn Price against MVG last weekend will have been a bitter pill to swallow. The Ice Man was leading for a majority of the match with the world champion, but once again struggled to get over the line against his nemesis. The point dropped by van Gerwen allowed Rob Cross to glide to the top of the table following his 8-4 triumph over Gurney.

A win for Gentle Mensur Suljovic allowed him to keep his place in the top four, with Wade and Gurney breathing down his neck this week. The 7-7 draw between Smith and Wright didn’t help either of their chances for a playoff finish.

So, let’s see what the week’s action in Liverpool has in store for us:

Rob Cross vs Peter Wright

Top of the league, Rob Cross will be wary of taking his foot off the gas. He’s proving to be the most consistent player in the league this season; Wright is far from his own consistent best. With just two wins in his ten Premier League outings, it’s hard to believe that Snakebite is still in with a chance of the playoffs – a win is paramount against Voltage. Cross is playing too well to give up too many chances, and should win at a distance. 8-5 or 8-4 in Liverpool.

Rob Cross win @ 4/5

Gerwyn Price vs Mensur Suljovic

Suljovic has won five of his last six matches, and with a speed of play which is likely to rattle Price, the Ice Man may get drawn into mistakes in Liverpool. Price is still knocking on the door of the playoffs, but has won just one of his last five in the Premier League. Price won 7-3 earlier in the season; I can sense revenge from the big Austrian. Suljovic to win in the outrights.

Mensur Suljovic to win @ 6/4

James Wade vs Daryl Gurney

Level on points coming into this week’s action, however, Wade’s leg difference gives him the edge in the league standings. Gurney’s loss to Cross last week ended his run of three straight wins, this being said, Superchin has the minerals to bounce back against a stumbling Wade. The Machine has just one win in his last five, with Gurney looking to leapfrog in Liverpool. Gurney to throw the most 180s and win it late.

Daryl Gurney most 180s @ 10/11

Michael Smith vs Michael van Gerwen

Smith needs a win here, against an opponent that seems to have a hold over the Bully Boy. MVG isn’t at his rampant best in the league stages this year, but will be looking to stamp his authority after losing top spot to Cross last week. Smith has looked out of sorts all season; if his scoring game isn’t there, van Gerwen will be given too many chances at the doubles. 8-4 to the Dutchman at a canter.

MVG to win 8-4 @ 9/2

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Best Bets of the Day – Sunday, April 7th 2019

FA Cup

Watford v Wolves
FA Cup Semi Final – 4.00 pm
BBC

The second of the FA Cup semi-finals this season is such an intriguing one. It is here that we will start off Sunday’s best bets of the day preview. It is Watford v Wolves and looking at the two of them it is really hard to split them. This just has the look of being such a tight clash at Wembley on the day. You have to consider that this is such an important game for both. It is a rare opportunity to make it to the FA Cup Final and caution is probably going to be the big winner on the day. The leading bookmakers are undecided with Wolves at 7/5 and Watford at 2/1 to win.

There is only one point between them in the top half of the Premier League table. They are both in decent form too. Watford have won six of their last nine games played (L3), the defeats in that sequence happening in the league away from home at Liverpool, Man City and Man Utd. Tough games in other words. Then you have Wolves who have only lost two of their last fourteen games in all competitions and who beat Man Utd in league action on Tuesday.

Of the two, Wolves have had the tougher path to the final four. They started in the third round at home against Liverpool as underdogs but pulled out a 2-1 success. They were in the exact same situation in the quarter-finals when they had to host Man Utd. Again it was a 2-1 underdog success for Wolves. In contrast, Watford have only conceded a goal in their four FA Cup games, scoring exactly two goals in three of the four. Watford were 2-0 winners over Wolves in an earlier league meeting this season. Considering how close this looks, the To Qualify market where Wolves are 3/4 and Watford are evens, maybe a decent market.

Northampton v Gloucester
Premiership Rugby – 3.00 pm
BT Sport

If the recent meetings between these two Premiership clubs at Franklin’s Gardens is anything to go by, we are in for a treat on Sunday. Northampton have won their last two league duels with the Cherry and Whites, but both of those victories were by a narrow three-point margin. The top bookmakers have the Saints at 10/11 to cover a -4 handicap on the weekend. They are clearly expecting yet another tight duel between the two clubs.

Northampton have not lost at home against Gloucester in league action since 2013, so they do have home form going. Overall home and away against the Cherry and Whites, the Saints are W3 L2. Since December 2018 Northampton have only lost the one home game in all competitions. But if you look at the overall recent form of the Saints, they have won just one of their last three league games. Does that open the door for Gloucester?

Gloucester are bang in form at the moment with four wins in their last five league games. They faced a massive away test recently in a top-four showdown against Harlequins and Gloucester prevailed with some aplomb. They are a dangerous side and have beaten the top two of Exeter and Saracens this term. The big challenge for them here is shaking off their losing streak at Franklin’s Gardens. Gloucester are 6/4 underdogs in the match outright with leading bookmakers, but they are a team in form.

Everton v Arsenal
Premier League – 2:05 pm
Sky Sports

Arsenal deserve some huge credit for the way that they have hauled themselves into the race for a top-four finish. They are on a hot streak of form with five wins in their last six league outings going (D1). They have won their last two games by a 2-0 scoreline, having taken out Manchester United and Newcastle fairly comfortably. The only two sides in the division to have scored more league goals than the Gunners this season are Man City and Liverpool, the top two.

The Gunners haven’t had a tremendous season away from home though. They have actually won only one of their last eight on the road (D3 L4). Their defence still hasn’t managed a shutout in an away game this season. But with them on a nine-match scoring streak at the moment in the league, you can’t help but see a team in form. They produced a 2-0 home win over Everton earlier this season too.

But Everton, who are 2/1 underdogs against the 27/20 favouritism of the Gunners for this one with top bookmakers, have reason to be confident. They have won back to back games for the second time this season with wins over Chelsea and West Ham. The Toffees have also taken four clean sheets in their last five games. Each of their last four Premier League wins have been with a clean sheet. Their home record is at W7 D4 L5 this season. Can Everton improve that and put a huge dent in Arsenal’s top four ambitions at the same time?

Bonuses can be a great addition to your betting experience, and bookmakers are pretty keen to dish them out to keep the interest of punters piqued

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Best Bets of the Day – Saturday, April 6th 2019

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Leicester v Exeter
Premiership Rugby – 4.30 pm
BT Sport

Exeter head into action this weekend sitting top of the Premiership table by nine points over Saracens. It is the response to their setback suffered against Gloucester in round 13 of action that has really been the telling factor in the title race. Since that loss they have powered their way to a four-match winning streak in the league.

Exeter are going up against the second-worst defence in the Premiership on the weekend. So even though they are away from home, the Chiefs are strong favourites to the point where leading bookmakers have a -6 handicap on them at 10/11 odds. Considering that they have won three of their last four away games in all competitions, they are shaping up well. Leicester have only won one of their last eight games, so have to defy some big odds in this one. The positive is that that one win did crop up on home soil, a recent league win over Wasps.

Manchester City v Brighton
FA Cup Semi Final – 5.30 pm
BBC One

The Citizens will be looking to make it to their second Wembley Cup final for the season. Back at the end of February, they beat Chelsea in a penalty shoot-out to claim the EFL Cup title. Given their dominance in the English game, they are, with little surprise, the 1/7 odds on favourites with leading bookmakers to win this semi-final clash against Brighton. They are even odds-on at 4/7 to win to nil.

City beat Brighton 2-0 in the Premier League at the Etihad earlier this season and are on a three-match winning streak against them. So far the Citizens have scored 19 goals in their four FA Cup games this term. Brighton have battled and scrapped their way to the semi-finals. Along the way they landed an extra time win out at Championship side West Brom and a penalty shootout success over Millwall in the last round. They have bent, but they haven’t broken. Can they defy massive 16/1 odds to reach the FA Cup final?

Grand National 2019
Horse Racing
ITV

Once again forty runners will be out trying to conquer the biggest test of endurance that there is the world of horse racing. We can’t have a best bets of the day preview for Saturday without dipping our toes into the Grand National. Is this the greatest National Hunt race there is? Maybe not from a betting perspective in trying to crack the code of such a big field. It is the most highly unpredictable race that there is out there.

This is a challenge over four-miles which will test the runners beyond their limits around the Aintree track in having to get over 30 fences. Last year it was Tiger Roll who won a thrilling climax by a head over Pleasant Company. It is the Gordon Elliott trained Tiger Roll who is the favourite for this year’s renewal. There are indications that he could end up being the shortest-priced ever favourite in a Grand National race.

With top bookmakers getting an early price of 7/2 on him, it’s the kind of price in an unpredictable race though that may detract punters, despite his clear credentials. Last year’s runner up Pleasant Company is a 20/1 shot to gone one step better. There are good challengers in the mix like Rathvinden who impressed with massive stamina in a win at Fairyhouse in the Bobbyjo Chase recently.

Vintage Cloud and Lake View Land both had good runs in the Ultima Chase at the Cheltenham Festival 2019 which could leave them in good stead for the National. There is Anibale Fly who was fourth in last year’s National and who dug out a big effort in the Cheltenham Gold Cup with a second place finish. Scottish National winner Joe Farrell has shown his credentials as well. With the big prices, there are some wonderful each way options to approach the Grand National 2019 with.

Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga – 5.30 pm
BT Sport

Here it is then, the big showdown at the top of the Bundesliga. Could this define where the title is heading? Dortmund hold a two point advantage over Bayern heading into this one. So a win would give them a huge leg-up in the title race. They have won their last three games in a row after a sticky patch of form. They have only managed to take the one win in their last four league away games though (D2 L1). When they hosted Bayern earlier this season, Dortmund posted a 3-2 home success over them. They are 17/4 with leading bookmakers to double up with another victory.

This is Bayern’s shot then at taking over at the top. They have been in cracking form with six wins in their last seven league outings (D1). They are on fire in front of goal too. Bayern have scored 18 goals in their last four league games alone. At the Allianz Arena, they are on a seven-match league winning streak where they have averaged 2.7 goals per game. Bayern landed a 6-0 win over Dortmund last season in this corresponding fixture. Can they dig out a huge three points for themselves? Bayern go as 8/15 favourites with top bookmakers.

Juventus v Milan
Serie A – 3.00 pm
Premier Sports

There are some huge games from continental Europe on the weekend, including this one. Juventus are still storming away to the league title once again in Italy. They are 18 points clear at the top with eight games to go, which is just ridiculous. They are 25 points clear of third-placed Milan who they host in Turin on Saturday. If Juve win this and Napoli fail to win on the weekend, that would leave Juventus needing just one more point to clinch the league title.

Juve are 3/4 to win on the weekend and improve their already tremendous W13 D2 L0 home record this season in the top flight. They have conceded just 9 goals in their fifteen home games, averaging over two per game themselves. Milan are striving for a top-four finish, but they have just fallen out of form with one point from their last three games played. With just a W5 D6 L3 record behind them this season away from home and having lost big away games against the other top-three sides, leading bookies have put 9/2 odds on them to stun their hosts.

Another wonderfully busy Saturday of top sporting action is here and keep up with the best live bets around.

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Best Bets of the Day – Friday, April 5th 2019

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Southampton v Liverpool
Premier League – 8.00 pm
Sky Sports

Manchester City are not in league action on the weekend, so Liverpool have the chance to get some pressure on them in the title race. The Reds make the long trip south to St Mary’s to face Southampton on Friday night. Last weekend Liverpool managed to squeeze out a home win against Spurs, with the Lilywhites putting through their own net in the final minute of the game. That was a massive moment for the Reds. Is fate on their side in the title race? Time will tell.

Liverpool are only W2 D3 L1 in their last six away games. The two wins in that sequence were narrow one-goal margin successes against bottom-six sides Brighton and Fulham. They have been far from their fluent best away from home. But at this stage of the season, there is bound to be nerves creeping in. Can they get a success at Southampton? Liverpool have won their last three league meetings against the Saints. Given their recent trend of narrow away wins, top bookmarks have the Reds to win this by a one-goal margin at 9/4 odds.

Southampton though are carrying decent form at the moment. Even though they have won only four home games, they are currently with back to back home successes. One of those was against a top-four side, Tottenham. They are in a fight for survival and that is making them dangerous at the moment. They are big 7/1 underdogs to pull off the home win over Liverpool. If they could, their survival hopes would skyrocket.

Sale v Harlequins
Premiership Rugby – 7.45 pm
BT Sport

This should be a really interesting clash from the AJ Bell Stadium. That is because of the hit and miss form of the Sharks. Sale have won three and lost three of their last six Premiership games, so do blow hot and cold. They have won their last two home games though, a resounding league victory over Leicester and then a victory in the European Challenge Cup against Connaught last weekend.

Each of the last seven meetings in the Premiership between Sale and Harlequins have gone the way of the home side. The Sharks are 4/9 to complete the win. However, the Quins are one of the better sides out on the road in the Premiership. They have actually only failed to win one of their last four away games in all competitions. Quins took a win at Worcester last weekend in the European Challenge Cup.

They have lost their last two Premiership games, tough clashes against Gloucester and Saracens. They have won three of their last four against Sale, including putting 51 points on the board against the Sharks when they lasts met back in September. At 15/8 odds to pull off a win, they will have their backers.

England Women v Canada Women
International Friendly – 7:15 pm
BBC Four

The Lionesses continue their build-up to the 2019 World Cup with a friendly against Canada on Friday night from Manchester City’s Academy Stadium. They will also go on to face France and Spain as part of their warm-ups. England had a powerful World Cup 2019 qualification campaign, posting a W7 D1 record from their eight games, conceding just the 1 goal and scoring 29. They have lost one of their star players for this one. Chelsea forward Fran Kirby has withdrawn because of a knee problem.

Four years ago at the World Cup, the Lionesses beat Canada in a quarterfinal thriller with Jodie Taylor and Lucy Bronze getting the goals in a 2-1 win. That put England through to the semifinals for the first time ever at a Women’s World Cup. England will go to France in the summer as one of the red-hot favourites to lift the title. Canada though are no pushover, as they are ranked fifth in the world (England are third). With home advantage though it is England Women who the bookmakers have as 8/13 odds-on favourites.

Mainz v Freiburg
Bundesliga – 7.30 pm
BT Sport

Mainz are in a big slump at the moment. They have lost their four games on the bounce in the German top flight. They have shipped a total of thirteen goals in those four games as well. If you look back over their last eight games they have conceded at least two goals in six of those eight, during which they have posted a W1 L7 sequence. So Mainz are on the slide but still have a fairly comfortable cushion between themselves and the relegation zone. So this is about steadying the ship. Top bookmakers have them at 5/4 to win this home duel.

Freiburg are one place above them in the bottom half of the table, but they are going to the other direction. They have lost just one of their last eight league games now and last weekend battled to a great point at home against Bayern Munich. Freiburg have drawn five of their last eight league games (W2 L1) so have been tough to knock down. That having been said, they have only won twice on their travels this season, averaging under a goal per game scored in road fixtures. But will they be able to land some away cheer against a Mainz side who are badly out of shape? Freiburg are 21/10 to pull out three points.

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Will Tiger Roll bash the bookies in a Grand National title defence?

Tiger Roll

Grand National 2019
Horse Racing – 5.15 pm
ITV

Tiger Roll. What hype. I’m not talking about the sushi of course, but the horse who is favourite to land this year’s Grand National. The Gordon Elliott-trained charge is at the head of the Grand National 2019 market. Bookmakers are expecting him to be potentially as short as 5/2 come the start of the Saturday’s race.

He could end up being the shortest priced favourite in the history of the famous race by the time the 40 runners head to the starters tape on the weekend.

Why The Hype?

So that leads to the question, why the hype? Well, he is the reigning champion. He hung on to beat Pleasant Company by a head in last year’s renewal of the Aintree classic. After his success twelve months ago he is going right up there in the handicapping weights. Tiger Roll is just one of two former winners of the race lining up for another crack. The other is One For Arthur who took the 2017 title.

Versatility is the key to Tiger Roll’s chances. He seems totally unconcerned about whatever distance is put out in front of him. While most of his races since 2017 have been around the 3m 6f distance, this season he took a win at Navas at over a mile less. He followed up that February win with another cross country triumph in March when he crushed the field by 22 lengths at Cheltenham.

Twelve months ago he was lined up as a 10/1 shot. He is going to be off at a much shorter price this go around as he strives to become the first horse since Red Rum to land back to back Grand National successes. Naturally, his cross country expertise puts him in good stead and the bookmakers would have a tough day if he were to win. There are reports of a Tiger Roll win costing the industry a potential £17 million.

The Flip Side

There is a flip side of course. At 7/2 odds-on in a field of forty over a gruelling 4 mile plus distance with 30 fences to get over, it’s not the most appealing of options for punters in such a wildly unpredictable race. This is a race where it’s not exactly unusual for horses to pulled down by others or to get bogged down in a pack or to simply refuse.

Look at last year’s disaster for favourite Total Recall who pulled up at the penultimate fence. Or strong contender Blaklion who was brought down at the very first jump. The only predictable thing about the Grand National is its unpredictability. Plus, the stats are against Tiger Roll as well if you are into that. Only three favourites have won the Grand National since 2000.

Each Way all the way

There is such a big tendency to lean on each way odds at the Grand National. Where in the field is the sweet spot for picking out each way options? Well, the average price of Grand National winners in the last ten editions is 11/1. So that means that you can afford to look a little bit beyond that.

Annibale Fly took fourth place in last season’s Grand National in a great run. He left everything out on the track as well at the recent Cheltenham Gold Cup where he bust a gut to land second place. That was such a tough race, it will have either steeled him for a big challenge or potentially left him a little short.

Rashivenden comes into the picture because of a fantastic win at Fairyhouse in February. The outstanding feature in that win over Alpha Des Obeaux (at a touch over three miles), was the immense staying power that he showed. Coupled with a win at Cheltenham in the National Hunt Challenge Cup last year over four miles, and a high official rating, he is around the 10/1 mark as joint second-favourite alongside Anibale Fly.

Scottish national winner Joe Farrell has staked his claims for a shot at the Grand National. The Welsh horse is always supremely fresh in the Spring. He could be lining up a good shot at making a challenge. He is going at 9-12 in the weights as well, which is hugely in his favour. I noticed over the last week, he has come from out at 50/1 to 20/1 with top bookmakers.

Ultima Feeders

The Ultima at the Cheltenham Festival is usually a good primer for Grand National options. From this year’s race, it is Lake View Lad and Vintage Clouds who both showed up well in place finishes behind Beware The Bear. The Ultima is a three miler. While the two could be evenly matched, Lake View Lad hasn’t been over 3m 3f and that could be important.

Eight of the last ten Grand National winners have been at least that distance before. Other popular showers at longer odds, around the 25/1 quote in the early markets are the likes of Pairofbrowneyes, Walk The Mill, Rock The Kasbah and Black Corton. I can’t sum up all the parts of this wonderful race in one article, my head’s already spinning with options. The only thing I know is that I can’t wait for the start.

Thunderous Excitement

This is the beauty of the Grand National, it is a rip-roaring, thunderous explosion of sporting action. You know there are going to be fallers, refusers and you know there is going to be drama. It is the ultimate race for office sweepstakes. It’s almost like a Holy Grail of horse racing betting, picking the winner out of such a head-twisting field.

Twelve months ago Tiger Roll was the shortest-priced winner of a Grand National since Don’t Put it in 2010 (also a 10/1 winner). Will he be delivering a hammer blow of a day for bookmakers by beating that mark and winning at an even shorter price at Aintree on Saturday?

For more of the top sporting options that are going down this weekend, read Bobby’s Big Weekend bets

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Australia Dark Horses for Cricket World Cup

Australian Cricket Team

A few months ago, you could have got long odds on Australia winning this summer’s cricket World Cup. Still reeling from the loss of key players Steven Smith and David Warner after their twelve-month ban, Australia limped from defeat to defeat in the fifty-over format.

A series of fringe players tried, and largely failed, to grab their opportunities and with the line-up continually in flux, it was impossible for stand-in captain Aaron Finch and his team to build any consistency.

But when viewers tune in to watch the World Cup coverage on BT Sport, they will find that Australia are ranked among the favourites. Many bookmakers now rank them as short as 9/2 third favourites for the World Cup trophy, not far behind second favourites India, and the 5/2 favourites England.

This turnaround in their World Cup prospects has been dramatic, but there is no doubt that it is real. Trailing 2-0 in a five-match series in India, the Aussies defied the odds to win the final three games of the series to win it 3-2. Buoyed by that success, they headed to the UAE and delivered a five-nil thrashing to Pakistan. It is true that neither India nor Pakistan were playing their full first choice line-ups, but then, given the absences of Smith and Warner, neither were Australia.

There are still some issues to be resolved. The re-integration of the returning duo will be key, with the likes of Usman Khawaja and Peter Handscomb potentially being asked to stand aside in their favour. That has to be handled well. It is also fair to say that Australia haven’t yet fully caught up with the way that fifty over cricket is played, as exemplified by an England team that routinely scores over 350. But they are no far off, and, given the talent in their ranks, they are a realistic bet this summer.

And, in truth, it would be odd if the Aussies weren’t regarded as serious contenders for World Cup glory, given the extent to which they have dominated it over the years. In fact, their hold over this event extends beyond that period in international cricket, from the mid-1990s to the midmid-2000s when they ruled the roost. Yes, they won the World Cup in 1999, 2003 and 2007. But they also won it a few years prior to their spell as the world’s best team, in 1987, and they won it again last time, in 2015, when they had long ago been dislodged from their pedestal as the best Test team.

In short, Australia have history with this tournament. Seven final appearances and five wins in the eleven World Cups to date is an astonishing record. As the tournament draws closer, there will be many cricket fans heading to the BigBetBookmakers site to find the best odds on an Australian win, and no-one should be surprised if the men in gold and green are lifting the trophy on July 14.

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Big Bets Bobby’s Take on the Martin Bakole vs Mariusz Wach Fight!

Martin Bakole Boxer 1

Limited action in the boxing world this weekend leads us to turn our attention back to the heavyweights. Such is the wonderful world of the fight game that the Polish heavyweight title is up for grabs this weekend between the seasoned Mariusz Wach and the promising, exciting, Scottish-based Martin Bakole.

In his first scheduled bout since losing his unbeaten record to Michael Hunter last October, Bakole is looking to bounce back in style adding to his eleven wins as a professional; Wach is a formidable opponent to make his return against, with a worry that his team have fed him to the lion’s den following dropping his ‘0’ last autumn.

Wach comes into this bout with a 33-4 record, having sustained losses in his last two fights at the hands of Artur Spilka and Jarrell Miller. Before these back-to-back defeats, Povetkin and Wladimir Klitschko were the only two men to take a W against the Pole, with everyone of his 39-years showing towards the backend of his career.

Martin Bakole to beat Mariusz Wach @ 6/4 (BetVictor)

Bakole to inflict Wach’s third defeat on the spin comes at a fantastic price. The biggest concern is the venue of this fight, but if Bakole can load up on Wach early in the fight, hopefully the judges won’t be needed in Katowice.

Wach – like his names suggests – can whack, but his KO wins have dried up in recent outings. The Viking has won on the cards four times out of his last six victories, however, his durability is to be commended. Wach has looked virtually indestructible through large parts of his career, but in this crossroads encounter, Bakole’s pressure may force him to crack late on.

Wach will be a stationary target for large parts of this fight, and if Bakole can vary his attacks from the head to the body, a breakthrough is possible over the ten scheduled rounds. Bakole’s jab let him down in his only defeat to Hunter, it will be interesting to see if improvements have been made in that area.

Wach’s last two defeats have come to B-level heavyweights, putting him firmly in the C-level camp. Bakole’s ceiling isn’t yet evident, with the youngster still finding his feet in the Land of the Giants. Cyclone are pushing the “African Prince” early in his pro career; it would be nice to see them reap the rewards.

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