Best Bets of the Day – Friday, May 24th 2019

Pakistan

Pakistan v Afghanistan
ODI Cricket – 10.30 am
Sky Sports

Pakistan recently took a bit of a drubbing against England in their five-match ODI series. After the first game was washed out, Pakistan lost the other four. That is far from being the ideal preparations for the 2019 World Cup which starts at the end of the month. Pakistan will be looking for a positive therefore as they step out as 3/10 odds-on favourites with leading bookmakers to beat Afghanistan in this World Cup warm-up contest.

Afghanistan too will be lining up at the World Cup. They came through a qualifying tournament to earn their spot. They are one of the big rank outsiders for success at the World Cup, but they will fancy their role as plucky underdogs nonetheless. So this will be a good workout for them against one of the top sides. It will be just the fourth ever ODI contest between themselves and Pakistan.

Pakistan have won those previous three meetings, the most recent of which was in September last year. To their credit, Afghanistan pushed Pakistan in that contest which was in Abu Dhabi. Pakistan collected the win by three wickets, but with only the three balls remaining in the match. Afghanistan warmed up in the weekend with a heavy victory over Ireland and they will be looking for their first win against Pakistan as 5/2 underdogs with top bookmakers.

Amiens v Guingamp
Ligue 1 – 2.45 pm
BT Sport

It is the final weekend of league action in the French top flight. Amiens are playing for their survival. So there is going to be a great deal of pressure on them ahead of this one. At least they have home soil advantage for the fixture, which may boost their chances. Amiens are two points clear of 18th spot in Ligue 1. Whoever finishes in 18th spot will head to a playoff against the team from the second tier who wins the promotion play-off. That will decide who plays in the top flight next season.

So Amiens need a win to guarantee they avoid that playoff. However, they are winless in their last nine league games (D7 L2). A draw would be enough only if Dijon don’t win their final game of the season. If they do, goal difference comes into the picture. The positive for Amiens, who are 4/9 odds-on favourites with leading bookmakers, is that they are undefeated in their last seven games at home.

They are also playing Guingamp who are rock bottom of the league and who are heading to the second tier next term. Like Amiens they are on a long winless streak of form, only managing to go D5 L3 in their last eight. So while an away win doesn’t look likely (Guingamp have won two away games all season) the draw in the match outright may appeal as one of the best bets of the day for punters.

Caen v Bordeaux
Ligue 1 – 8.05 pm
BT Sport

It is a battle for survival then in France on the weekend. As mentioned above, Amiens are playing for their top-flight status. Caen are also in that position. The only way they guarantee absolute survival is by winning and hoping that Amiens lose. Caen could beat Amiens on goal difference if they win and Amiens only draw. But there is another issue for Caen that Amiens don’t have. If they lose this and second-from-bottom Dijon win, that leaves Caen in the automatic relegation spot.

So Caen are in that tricky position of being brave enough to push on for the win to try and secure safety, and being cautious enough not to implode and lose. This is going to be a tense afternoon for them. Caen are the 4/11 odds on favourites as they line up on home soil against Bordeaux who are sat five points ahead of them in the bottom half of the table. They are safe and with nothing to play for.

Bordeaux are in a dreadful run of form at the moment. They are on a six-match losing streak and have lost each to their last three played by a 1-0 scoreline. This has been some crash from them. Bordeaux have failed to score in four of their last six games. Away from home, they are winless in nine now. Could their form be the salvation for Caen? The visits are 9/1 underdogs with leading bookmakers.

Take a look ahead at some of the biggest action from the weekend with Bobby’s Big Weekend Bets.

Big Bets Bobby’s Take on the Hughie Fury vs Chris Norrad Fight!

Hughie.Fury vs Chris.Norrad

In a quiet weekend of boxing action, attention turns to the return of Hughie Fury, as he bids to begin climbing the heavyweight ladder once again after suffering two defeats in his last three outings.

These two defeats weren’t clean cut. A controversial majority decision defeat to (then) WBO world heavyweight champion Joseph Parker was followed by a loss to Kubrat Pulev in which Fury received a nasty cut early in the fight. Sandwiched in between was a dominant display to pick up the British heavyweight title against Sam Sexton last year, however, Tyson Fury’s cousin has always had his sights set on bigger prizes in the sport.

Saturday night sees Fury invite the challenge of Chris Norrad of Canada to the Victoria Warehouse in Manchester. Norrad – unbeaten with a record of 17-0 in the paid ranks – looks like a solid sell for the return of Fury, but despite this pumped up C.V, the 35-year-old is limited in his levels of experience. With a majority of six-rounders on his record, Fury’s technical ability and comfortable gas-tank should pay dividends in this fight, allowing Fury to put on a show in front of his home crowd as he looks to angle towards another title shot sometime in 2020.

Speaking at the fight press conference, Fury alluded to his desire to put on a show on Saturday night: “The win is not the priority. It’s how I win. I’m going to put on an exciting show. This time, like the Sam Sexton fight, there’s going to be fireworks. For a start, you’ll see a big difference in my physique because we’ve brought Kerry Kayes on board and I’m much stronger in my body.
I never liked sounding my own horn. Fighters can talk as much as you want during the build-up but I’ve always preferred to do my talking on fight night, inside the ring, the only place that matters”.

The signs are good for Fury and his team. Unprepared to be labelled with the ‘boring’ style that he and his cousin are often given, Hughie is looking to make a statement on Saturday; a points decision over a guy that hasn’t yet completed twelve rounds of boxing as a professional would certainly raise eyebrows for the legitimacy of Hughie’s world title bids in the future.

At just 24-years, Fury has time to grow into the division, with many heavyweights not peaking until they are in their late 20s. He has a style which enables him to stay away from danger in a fight, which in the long term will be a huge benefit to his career.

It seems like currently it is the hardest time to force yourself into a mandatory position to fight for a world title. Dillian Whyte is still waiting for his shot with the WBC having held the number one spot for a year and a half; Joshua holds the other three and is picking and choosing victims until his mandatories are called. Having been given a shot in 2017 it’s hard to envisage Fury moving himself into a mandatory slot in the next 18 months. He’s not the most active fighter, but this bout against Norrad could well prove to be the first step on the climb back to the heavyweight summit. He’s unquestionably got the skills – it’s now time to prove it with consistency.

Hughie Fury to win by KO, TKO or disqualification @ 3/10 (BetFred)

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Premier League Darts Finals this Thursday at London’s O2 Arena

Van.Gerwen James.wade .PDL

After a gripping season in the Premier League, the tournament comes to a crescendo on Thursday at London’s O2 Arena. Four finalists – Rob Cross, Michael van Gerwen, James Wade and Daryl Gurney – will go head-to-head in East London in the semi-finals and final, looking to be crowned the Premier League champion in its fifteenth year.

Van Gerwen and Wade know that feeling. The “Green Machine” has scooped the Premier League crown in the last three seasons, adding to his maiden win in 2013 where he toppled the great Phil Taylor in a sparkling final. James Wade claimed the prize in 2009 to become only the second winner of the competition, following four Taylor wins since the 2005 birth.

With six titles, Phil Taylor still leads the way in the Premier League Hall-of-Fame. “Barney” can lay claim to the most amount of matches played in the format (211), with MVG boasting the biggest match average of 123.40 in 2016. The Dutchman also recorded a 112.37 average in last year’s final over Michael Smith, punctuating his recent dominance in this format.

Michael van Gerwen vs Daryl Gurney

Gurney got two wins over MVG in the league stage, so will come into this semi-final with huge confidence. Van Gerwen has blown hot and cold throughout the campaign as well as individual matches; Superchin will fancy rolling into an early lead. The purple patches that the Dutchman will inevitably find may be enough to get him over the line, even if Gurney starts the strongest. 10-7 to van Gerwen.

Van Gerwen 10-7 Gurney @ 6/1 (BetVictor)

Rob Cross vs James Wade

Wade got the edge over Cross in the last league encounter of the 2019 season, however, Cross has arguably been the standout performer over the campaign. These two are so closely matched in their head-to-heads that a 19-leg match wouldn’t be a surprise. Neither look like dropping their throw too often. Back Wade to pinch it late on as The Machine holds his nerve. 10-9 in a thriller.

James Wade to win @ 5/4 (BetVictor)

Predicted final: Michael van Gerwen vs James Wade

Michael van Gerwen to win the 2019 Premier league @ 1/2 (BetVictor)

Despite showing uncharacteristic vulnerabilities in the league stage, Michael van Gerwen still has that extra level that can be reached when the pressure is on. The Dutchman may have lost twice in previous Premier League finals, but with a 100+ average in both of those attempts, it was more of a case of van Barneveld and Anderson stepping up to the plate.

In a race to 11, the Dutchman can be afforded a slower start than usual, without the fear of getting pegged early like in the league stage.

Wade, Cross and Gurney have all proved they can beat the Dutchman on the big stage, but when it really matters will any of them be able to change gear? It may not be as cut and dry as in previous years, but I still fully expect MVG to scoop his fifth Premier League crown on Thursday.

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Rose and Rahm Favourites in Texas

Rose and Rahm golf

After Brooks Koepka’s triumph at the PGA Championship, the focus of US golf will be on Texas this week as the PGA’s leading players descend on Colonial Country Club, Fort Worth, and two golfers in particular appear to be fancied to pick up the Charles Schwab Invitational trophy.

Colonial is less of a test than many courses on the PGA Tour. Although in terms of distance, it rates as average, at around 7200 yards, the firm conditions under foot in Texas should ensure that the course plays much shorter, and the focus for most contenders this week will be about securing position for their second shot, rather than looking for maximum distance from the tee.

Driving accuracy is the key at Colonial, where wayward big-hitters can often come unstuck, and it also helps to be able to play in blustery conditions as the variable but sometimes strong winds can often play havoc with even the most resilient player’s strategy, so golfers with a record of being able to handle less than ideal weather conditions should have an advantage.

Defending a title on the ultra-competitive PGA Tour is a tall order, but according to the bookmakers, Justin Rose is in line to do just that this week. BetCris make him the +951 favourite after he skipped the European Tour last season to take in this event for the first time since 2010 and justified his decision by winning it. He had calm conditions to work with last time round, so it remains to be seen how well he goes in 2019, but he has the game to cope with a tough challenge.

Close behind Rose in the betting is US star Jon Rahm, at +975 with BetCris. The three-time PGA Tour winner missed the cut last week and his short price seems to be based more on reputation than form or suitability to the course, as his big hitting style is not ideally cut out for Colonial.

Jordan Spieth is the current third favourite with BetCris and can be backed at +1252, after a remarkable comeback at Bethpage, which featured some world-class putting and took him to a creditable third-placed finish. The three-time Major winner is always a force to be reckoned with and he has a strong record at this tournament. In fact, he’s never finished outside the top 32 at Colonial and has a win and two seconds from six visits. Given that he’s now found his touch, he will be strongly fancied by golf fans to pick up another trophy.

And further down the betting, Kevin Kisner could also be a live contender. He is currently rated as a +3555 chance, and was another player who struggled last week, but this course suits him down to the ground and he is overdue a big performance, so could be a player to watch in Texas, in what promises to be a fascinating duel at a course that is always popular with players and spectators.

Can Liverpool Gain Compensation in Europe?

Roberto Firmino Liverpool

On Sunday May 12th, Liverpool’s hopes of a first top flight English league title since 1990 were ended when Manchester City won 2-1 at Brighton. That left Liverpool one point behind City in the Premier League, on 97 points; a total that would have won every other edition of the Premier League apart from last season, when once again, it was Manchester City who led the way.

The gap has closed considerably over the last twelve months. At the end of the 2017-18 campaign, Liverpool finished 25 points behind City, but while their Manchester rivals have continued at the same level this season, Jurgen Klopp’s reds have narrowed the gap to just one point.

All of that is scant consolation of course, for Liverpool fans, and at this point, they face the prospect of missing out next year as well as they are the 5/2 second favourites with bookmakers to win next season’s Premier League. But the good news is that their season has not yet finished. They still have the opportunity to win the ultimate consolation prize: the Champions League.

Whereas City and Pep Guardiola may be prepared to trade a Premier League title for a first European triumph for the blue half of Manchester, for Liverpool, winning the Premier League is everything. But earning another top European trophy, to go with their four European Cups, one Champions League title, three UEFA Cups and three European Super Cups would be a fitting recognition for arguably the most exciting team in England, and possibly in Europe.

And for English fans tuning in to watch the final on BT Sport will be able to enjoy the rare treat of watching two English teams battling to be Europe’s best. This hasn’t happened since the 2008 Champions League final when Manchester United got the better of Chelsea on penalties, and it highlights the current strength of English football and the Premier League.

The team that stands in Liverpool’s way will not be pushovers. Tottenham have struggled to mount a serious challenge for the Premier League title but they have been steadily improving in Europe, and their resilience has helped them to come through a tough Group, as well as a nerve-wracking semi-final, in which they progressed at the expense of Ajax thanks to a last minute goal from Lucas Moura.

But while Tottenham have resilience and may also have the England captain Harry Kane available for this final, Liverpool have the edge when it comes to ability. Their defensive solidity this season has been the bedrock upon which they’ve built their success, while no-one has yet found a way to contain the front trio of Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino. That’s why in the days leading up to the Champions League final, there will be plenty of football fans checking out the Bigbetbookmakers site to find the best odds on Liverpool taking this season’s European crown.

Big Sporting Events: The Davis Cup

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The Davis Cup is regarded as the “World Cup of Tennis”, and is a team competition featuring a number of nations. Some of the best players in the world will take part in the event, which has undergone a radical change of format for 2019.

The competition has a long and illustrious history, and originally began as a shootout between the USA and England. As the event gathered momentum, more countries were added to the list, with the likes of India, Croatia and Argentina all being added to the roster.

Prior to 2019, the competition was held over the course of four separate weekends (Fri-Sun). These tended to be natural breaks in the ATP calendar, and were played in a best-of-5 format. However, the final match of the weekend was often considered to be a dead rubber. The tie-break wasn’t introduced until 1989.

Since 1981, the top 16 teams have competed in the “World Group”, whilst each of the levels below were regionalised. From 2019, the top 18 teams will be separated into six round-robin groups.

All the games will take place in a single location from 2019 onwards. The venue will be pre-determined by the ITF. Previously, each country would take it in turns to host a Davis Cup contest, and they would also be given carte blanche to pick the surface. This attracted some criticism, as countries deliberately chose ground conditions which arguably made it tougher for the opposition. However, from 2019, home advantage is no longer a consideration.

Similar to other knock-out tournaments, the winners of each group will progress to the quarter-finals, alongside the two best second-placed sides. Each tie will now consist of two singles matches and a doubles game. This will be far less time-consuming than the previous best-of-five format.

The lower groups will take on a slightly different format with just single ties taking place. These will be crucial to a country’s chances of avoiding relegation or achieving promotion.

This change of format has results in a number of logistical hurdes for the ITF to overcome, and the re-styled competition may need some ironing out. The four semi-finalists from 2018 automatically qualified for this years finals, with the remaining sides having to go through the qualification process.

There have been mixed responses from tennis players with both Novak Djokovic and Rafa Nadal believed to be in favour of the new format. However, other players have expressed their sadness at the change of system.

Players have been known to opt out of playing in the Davis Cup. Each country will tend to pick their best players for the competition, as there is plenty of pride at stake. The coach (usually a former player) will be in charge of selecting the squad.

This year’s Davis Cup will take place at the end of November, and will follow the conclusion of the regular season. This could mean that some players will be ineligible for the competition due to injury. The games will be played on the indoor hard courts in Spain.

USA are the most successful nation to take part in the competition, and have been victorious on 32 occasions. Between 1950 and 1967, Australia won 15 times, and were truly dominant. Croatia won the 2018 staging of the Davis Cup, the last edition to use the old format.

 

When and Where?

The location of the Davis Cup will change each year, and it is determined by the ITF. From 2019 onwards, all of the finals will be held in a single location. Caja Magica in Madrid is the chosen venue for this year’s event.

Previously, the tournament was hosted in stages throughout the season, typically beginning in February, but it is now held at the end of the year. 2019’s tournament will take place at the end of November.

 

Why is the Davis Cup so Popular?

The Davis Cup is a chance to see some of the world’s finest tennis players take to the court. It is an action-packed weekend for tennis fans, who will need to decide which match to watch.

There is also plenty of national pride at stake in this competition with tennis fans cheering on their fellow countrymen. The euphoric feeling of securing the Davis Cup is still very important to players, and that is part of the reason why the fans still enjoy this competition. There is a unique atmosphere at each of these events, and this is all part of the enjoyment.

 

What Betting Opportunities Are Available?

Plenty! Although it not as popular with bettors as any of the four Grand Slams, there are still plenty of markets priced up by the bookmakers.

The Davis Cup outright market is the most popular, and will be priced up throughout the year. This can alter dramatically once qualification is complete.

 

Key Betting Markets

Davis Cup Winner – This is the simplest of the pre-tournament markets. It is a case of predicting which country will win the 2019 Davis Cup. Most of the nations involved have previously enjoyed success in the competition, and although this market may look straightforward, most teams are in with a chance of claiming top honours. Your chosen country will need to be victorious in the final in order to receive a payout.

Each Way Winner – Backing one of the bigger priced teams at an each-way price is another way of keeping across the tournament as a whole. Your chosen side will need to reach the final in order to receive a payout, and it will be returned a 1/2 the odds.

To Reach The Semi-Finals/Quarter Finals – This is a new market to tie in with the change of format. Most bookmakers will price up each sides chances of reaching the final four or final eight. The teams will be put in a round-robin format, and the top side will progress, alongside the two best second-placed sides. Teams must reach the requisite stage in order to receive a pay-out.

Match Winner – This is still the most popular way of betting on the Davis Cup. Each team will be priced up according to their chances of success in each individual tie, and the quality of player involved will have a big impact on the odds. Teams must prevail (in the best-of-three format) in order to receive a payout. The prospect of wagering on a dead rubber is eliminated by the recent alterations.

Correct Score – Each game will now be played in a three-set format. This has reduced the amount of tennis played, but it should make it more enjoyable for spectators. It also allows more matches to be played across the same weekend. Bettors can predict how many sets each match will consist of. Options of 3-0, 1-2 and 2-1 are available in this market.

Handicaps – Handicap markets are always very popular in tennis. These will give the underdog a chance of maintaining parity for the majority of the tie, or it allows punters to predict a very one-sided tie.

Point-by-Point Betting – Bettors will have the chance to get involved in the in-play markets, and this will allow them to wager on each individual point. Players can get involved at any point, and the markets will disappear as soon as the player steps towards the base-line. This is the ideal market for betting against those players who aren’t powerful servers.

Accumulators – With several games taking place across the weekend, there is always an opportunity for creating an accumulator. This will involved betting on several countries to win their respective matches. All of these sides must win in order to receive a payout.

Tie Break? – Tie Breaks have become part-and-parcel of this competition, and players can predict whether each match require one of these to help determine the result. These are common between big-servers, and this should be taken into consideration.

 

Bobby’s Big Betting Tips for the Davis Cup

Player Record in this Competition  – This is an essential aspect of the Davis Cup, as some players take it far more seriously than others. There are many players who simply love representing their country, and they play with pride and passion. These are the kind of players who are ideal to back in this situation. There are other competitors who simply don’t play with same gusto. It is advised to check on their previous record in this competition, and whether they have taken it seriously in the past.

Injuries/Fatigue Could Help Determine the Tie – The new format of the Davis Cup means that it is now competed at the end of the campaign. It can often be a long, hard season for many players, particularly those who are carrying niggly injuries. If you can unearth information about a players current medical state, then this can be extremely helpful. It is not advised to back players who have skipped competitions or pulled out of tournaments in recent weeks. Look for players who are still at the top of their game despite a lengthy period of on-court activity.

Head-to-Head Records – Head-to-Head records are not quite as important in this competition, but they still play a significant role. Some players just cannot get the better of a particular competitor, and if they come up against one another in the Davis Cup, that record may continue.

Surface is Key – Previously in the Davis Cup, countries could decide the surface on which the matches will be held, but that is no longer the case. However, it is still important to take into consideration. Some players just don’t have the game to cope with the slower clay courts, and their style of play will not be suited to Spanish venue which is staging the 2019 event. If a player does not look comfortable on a particular court, it could be best to back the opposition.

UK viewers can enjoy the Davis Cup on the BBC, and there is also extended coverage online. 

Nadal & Djokovic versus the Field at the French Open 2019?

Rafa Nadal

The interest ahead of the French Open 2019 has certainly been raised. Recent results have seen Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal take major clay court titles. That has only made their positions stronger at the head of the betting market for Roland Garros 2019. The action in the French capital starts on May 27th, delivering two weeks of Grand Slam tennis action.

Nadal back in peak form ahead of Roland Garros

Of course, it is Rafael Nadal who has been the dominant force in the modern era at the French Open. The Spaniard will be heading back to the clay Parisian courts as the reigning champion. He has won it for the last two years and his victory over Dominic Thiem in last season’s final saw Nadal claim the title for a record 11th time.

The Spaniard keeps on pushing the envelope at the event. He is even money with leading bookmakers to win this year’s edition as well. 2019 has been a disjointed campaign from him, as he has had to work his way back to full fitness following an injury. It means that he hasn’t been the usual all-conquering presence during the clay swing of the season.

But he ended his title-less campaign by beating Novak Djokovic in the final of the Italian Open recently. That was just the culmination of some rising (and potentially ominous) form from him on his comeback. So maybe he has just got it all together to peak at the right time for another assault on the French Open title. Before his win at the Internazionali BNL d’Italia, he had reached the semifinals of the Mutua Madrid Open, a Masters 1000 event just like Rome.

Djokovic seeks to make more history

Djokovic was the winner of the Madrid Open recently. That was a big step up in form for him. He hasn’t been anywhere near his best this season, the Serbian having had to deal with fitness and form problems of his own. But the big players know how to manage schedules and how to get timing right. He got it perfect at the start of the year, winning the Australian Open. Djokovic’s sole French Open title happened in 2016. That was a momentous title for him too.

Not only had he lost three previous French Open Finals, but it completed a career Slam for him. It meant that he had won all four Grand Slam titles throughout his career. It wasn’t just that though, it was his fourth Grand Slam title in a row. Djokovic’s success at Roland Garros in 2016 mean that he held all four of the major titles at the same time. The correlation to 2019 is that he is in exactly the same position.

He holds the Wimbledon, US Open and this year’s Australian Open title. Leading bookmakers have Djokovic at 9/4 to land this season’s French Open title. The fact that he has a chance to hold all four titles at the same time for the second time is remarkable. Just to put it into context, Roger Federer has never managed to pull off the feat. In fact in 2016, Djokovic became just the third man in history to hold all Slam titles at once.

Thiem the one most like to upset the big guns

The only other man heading into the men’s draw for the French Open 2019 in single figures is Dominic Thiem. The Austrian has collected two titles this season and he has risen to number four in the world. His first 2019 title was in beating Roger Federer in the final of Indian Wells. Thiem followed it up with a victory over Daniil Medvedev in Barcelona, notably on clay.

With a run to the semifinals of the Mutua Madrid Open, where he was beaten in two extremely tight sets by Djokovic, Thiem again showed his rising threat in beating Roger Federer in the quarterfinals. There was another notable result by Thiem this season. That was a semifinal victory over Rafael Nadal in Barcelona, on his way to lifting the title.

Federer nothing more than an outside chance?

What of Federer? The Swiss legend won his sole French Open title back in 2009 and has skipped the last three editions of the event. That is primarily because of saving himself for the hard court swing of the season later in the year. In his last three Grand Slam appearances, Federer’s best effort was a quarter-final at Wimbledon last year.

The other two, appearances at the US Open and the 2019 Australian Open, saw Federer bow out at the fourth round in each. For the man who has achieved so much in the sport, the French Open is, by a long way, the least successful of the Slams for him. So that, and with little form on clay this season, sees Federer as a big 18/1 outsider with leading bookmakers.

In the last fourteen editions of the French Open, only four different men have won it. There has been the sheer dominance of Nadal of course, with his astounding eleven wins. That has left Roger Federer, Novak Djokovic and Stan Wawrinka with just the one win each in that sequence.

That is the weight of history which the rest of the field has to go up against. Remarkably again, it could be a case of two-men versus the field.

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